Guys! Need your opinion. My english is not so good to represent all my thoughts. On my current english language level i cant show all picture that i see. I wanna write about economic processes, philosophy, psyhology of trading/investing, more details on strategies, opinions, etc. One my english reader said that he just leave my page because its hard for him to read my writes on enlish. He said that my grammer, style is poor. When i began writes on english i wanna to attract readers from whole world. I understand that its too hard to make good audience from whole world with this poor english. So when i write on english my foreign readers cant understand me fully and with comfort and russian speaken readers cant understand me fully too. Plus, as i wrote above, i cant write all my thoughts in english. So guys, i wanna to listen your opinions. Its really important for me. Leave opinions in comments please.
Ребята! Мне необходимо ваше мнение! Мой английский не настолько хорош, что бы передать все мои мысли. На моем текущем уровне английского языка, я не могу вам показать всю картину, которою вижу я. Хочу писать об экономических процессах, философии, психологии трейдинга\инвестирования, более детально рассматривать стратегии, мнения и т.п. Один мой англоязычный читатель сказал мне, что он вынужден покидать мою страницу быстро, так как ему тяжело воспринимать мой английский - грамматику, прерывистые предложения.. Когда я начинал писать на английском, хотел привель читателей со всего мира. Но я понимаю что сложно создать хорошую аудиторию англоязычных читателей с моим не высоким уровнем английского языка. Таким образом я нахожусь "и не там, и не там". Англоязычным читателям сложно меня понимать из за некоректного английского, а русскоязычным конечно же тяжело читать английский. Таким образом я не могу выдавать хороший продукт и для тех и для тех. И мне хотелось бы писать о более сложных вещах, написание которых на английском мне очень затруднительно. Ребята, очень хочу услышать ваше мнение! Пожалуйста, оставьте комментарий.! Спасибо!
Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts
Showing posts with label oil. Show all posts
Saturday, July 4, 2009
Friday, June 12, 2009
Our potentional stakes
Our potentional stakes
Canadian bank
Canadian financial institutions mostly avoided the worst of the fallout from the credit crisis due to tougher regulation and a more conservative culture that kept them away from risky credit derivatives that hurt so many of their competitors in Europe and on Wall Street.
The problem is that retail banking – one of the main engines of the sector – is deteriorating, with earnings collectively down 10% from the second quarter of 2008.
For expample we are looking for buying TD stake.
Energy/commodities stocks
We are bullish on comodities mostly not by that we see potentional demand increasing but mostly by inflation expectations. We are not sure that real economy demand on commodities will increase huge. We assume “W” vivid structure of economy recovery. With second down wave on august/september 2009.
We have big inflations expectations and doubtful market growth. If no risks will be converted in to reality we will see continue of market growth and gold growth too. Market will growth by better fundamentals, gold will growth by inflation expectations - if economy is began to recover - inflation wiil begin growing quick. If we dont see real economic recovering now, we will see second wave of recesion. It will mean more money to print again, bigger inflation in future, so market in this scenario will go down again, but gold after some down move, will grow even more quickly. For our fund we wanna to acumulate positions in gold, silver, stocks which are producers of commodities. The focus of our fund will be on silver. We have to be happy buy silver companies but silver companies is very expensive on fundamentals. Better way just to buy silver as metal.
On oil OPEK will not increase supply until oil prices will rich 100$. For most OPEK countries 75$ - comfortable price. Other positive on oil was Goldman upgrades to 85$. Before last rally they said about oil growth and then we saw 150$ price .
So we dont saying that this type of stocks will growth, we just saying that they will be strenghter than market.
Technology
Even now we see a nice up in buisness activity of technology stocks. They have a good balance sheets with large cash positions and ready to invest in new buisnesses, innovations. We already have a large stake in technology but we see opportunities even to increase it. Candidats are DELL, CSCO, ORCL
Canadian bank
Canadian financial institutions mostly avoided the worst of the fallout from the credit crisis due to tougher regulation and a more conservative culture that kept them away from risky credit derivatives that hurt so many of their competitors in Europe and on Wall Street.
The problem is that retail banking – one of the main engines of the sector – is deteriorating, with earnings collectively down 10% from the second quarter of 2008.
For expample we are looking for buying TD stake.
Energy/commodities stocks
We are bullish on comodities mostly not by that we see potentional demand increasing but mostly by inflation expectations. We are not sure that real economy demand on commodities will increase huge. We assume “W” vivid structure of economy recovery. With second down wave on august/september 2009.
We have big inflations expectations and doubtful market growth. If no risks will be converted in to reality we will see continue of market growth and gold growth too. Market will growth by better fundamentals, gold will growth by inflation expectations - if economy is began to recover - inflation wiil begin growing quick. If we dont see real economic recovering now, we will see second wave of recesion. It will mean more money to print again, bigger inflation in future, so market in this scenario will go down again, but gold after some down move, will grow even more quickly. For our fund we wanna to acumulate positions in gold, silver, stocks which are producers of commodities. The focus of our fund will be on silver. We have to be happy buy silver companies but silver companies is very expensive on fundamentals. Better way just to buy silver as metal.
On oil OPEK will not increase supply until oil prices will rich 100$. For most OPEK countries 75$ - comfortable price. Other positive on oil was Goldman upgrades to 85$. Before last rally they said about oil growth and then we saw 150$ price .
So we dont saying that this type of stocks will growth, we just saying that they will be strenghter than market.
Technology
Even now we see a nice up in buisness activity of technology stocks. They have a good balance sheets with large cash positions and ready to invest in new buisnesses, innovations. We already have a large stake in technology but we see opportunities even to increase it. Candidats are DELL, CSCO, ORCL
Sunday, April 19, 2009
All in one. 19.04.2009
Financial
If banks are up, why assets prices down?
Inner Workings
After reading the financial statements for many banks I can tell you that the only thing keeping them afloat is all these bailouts, legalizing of lying about asset values (aka mark to model), and non stop televised propaganda, none of which changes the fundamentals. This bear market rally isn’t going to shake most shorts because they are positioned to be solvent longer then the market can afford to be irrational, myself included.
Biggest Florida Bank - 20 days to find buyer - 14 billion BankUnited of Coral Gables
Technical picture for
JPM
GS
C
BAC
Overbought of financial sector (using MA50)
50MA and financial sector
Potentional arbitrage with OIL
picture for research
So sell OIL, buy stocks of OIL companies.
Cooper and other metals, oil
China buying activly cooper and all other industrial metals, oil - diminishing the dependence on the American bonds and dollar. But how much China can do supplies for production needs?
Also have potentional H&S for tasty short on cooper
chart of cooper
FEED
The main idea from Tim Sykes is shorting FEED
See the interview Tim Sykes on FEED
Number of US stocks above 50MA signals about overbought in short term period
bespoke
We can check this guy, whos main instrument is VIX VIX guy and see that it is also signals to short a market
RSX
We can comapre emergeny markets with US markets. We saw a powerfull down move on friday's close in US. Brasilian stock index Bovespa closed in -0,5% . LKOH, GAZP - russian blue chips closed the week in minus zone.
Real Estate
RealtyTrac agency declared the amounts of the withdrawn habitation about growth. In the first quarter a number was a record. The new coil of price-cutting can follow on the real estate.
We have a record unpleymonet numbers on California, Oregon, Carolina, Nevada, Indiana. So it can be a good idea to bet versus real estate in this states.
If banks are up, why assets prices down?
Inner Workings
After reading the financial statements for many banks I can tell you that the only thing keeping them afloat is all these bailouts, legalizing of lying about asset values (aka mark to model), and non stop televised propaganda, none of which changes the fundamentals. This bear market rally isn’t going to shake most shorts because they are positioned to be solvent longer then the market can afford to be irrational, myself included.
Biggest Florida Bank - 20 days to find buyer - 14 billion BankUnited of Coral Gables
Technical picture for
JPM
GS
C
BAC
Overbought of financial sector (using MA50)
50MA and financial sector
Potentional arbitrage with OIL
picture for research
So sell OIL, buy stocks of OIL companies.
Cooper and other metals, oil
China buying activly cooper and all other industrial metals, oil - diminishing the dependence on the American bonds and dollar. But how much China can do supplies for production needs?
Also have potentional H&S for tasty short on cooper
chart of cooper
FEED
The main idea from Tim Sykes is shorting FEED
See the interview Tim Sykes on FEED
Number of US stocks above 50MA signals about overbought in short term period
bespoke
We can check this guy, whos main instrument is VIX VIX guy and see that it is also signals to short a market
RSX
We can comapre emergeny markets with US markets. We saw a powerfull down move on friday's close in US. Brasilian stock index Bovespa closed in -0,5% . LKOH, GAZP - russian blue chips closed the week in minus zone.
Real Estate
RealtyTrac agency declared the amounts of the withdrawn habitation about growth. In the first quarter a number was a record. The new coil of price-cutting can follow on the real estate.
We have a record unpleymonet numbers on California, Oregon, Carolina, Nevada, Indiana. So it can be a good idea to bet versus real estate in this states.
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